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We’re on a generational run right now, sweeping twice over the last 3 days, and crushing 80% of our last 15 NBA picks 🤯

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Top NBA Picks Sunday (5/20)

#3

👇J. Randle: O 29.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

Best line: (PrizePicks) USE CODE: NBAARMY | or straight bet this on NOVIG

Julius Randle has been the Timberwolves’ most consistent all-around weapon over their last four games, averaging a MASSIVE 42.3 PRA while shooting a SCORCHING 55.7% from the field—his most efficient stretch of the year. But this isn’t just about scoring. He’s doing it all: rebounding, facilitating, and consistently staying on the floor, logging 31.9 minutes per game at home this season, which ranks in the 87TH PERCENTILE leaguewide. And now he gets a matchup tailor-made for his style of play. The Thunder have played at the FASTEST PACE IN THE NBA over their last 5 home games, meaning more possessions, more chaos, and more stat-stuffing upside for Randle.

But pace isn’t the only edge here—OKC’s weaknesses line up perfectly with how Randle operates. They allow the 4TH-MOST FREE THROW ATTEMPTS and the 8TH-MOST OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS in the league, both of which feed directly into Randle’s physical, downhill game. Meanwhile, Minnesota ranks 4TH in OFFENSIVE REBOUNDS over their last 5 games, giving him additional 2ND-CHANCE OPPORTUNITIES to rack up points and assists. Combine his recent efficiency spike with a high-possession matchup and multiple paths to padding stats, and this number looks WAY TOO LOW. With his PRA total consistently sitting 9+ ABOVE this projection lately, and the matchup funneling volume directly to his strengths, this is a LOCK.

#2

👇L. Dort: O 11.5 Pts+Reb+Ast

Best line: (PrizePicks) USE CODE: NBAARMY | or straight bet this on NOVIG

Luguentz Dort may not grab headlines, but he's been a silent killer in DFS formats—clearing this number in 16 of his last 20 games while averaging 14.7 PRA in that span. But what really sets him apart here is his SHOOTING SURGE AT HOME. Over his last 15 games on his own floor, Dort has hit 3.6 THREES PER GAME, which is +0.7 ABOVE his season average and a critical efficiency boost that gives him an easy path to value. So when you add in the matchup? It gets even better. The Timberwolves have allowed the 4TH-MOST THREE-POINTERS TO STARTING SGs IN ROAD GAMES, giving Dort an open green light from deep.

And that’s not all. The Thunder are playing at the FASTEST PACE IN THE LEAGUE over their last 5 home games, creating nonstop opportunity for guards like Dort to rack up value on broken plays and in transition. While his 28.9 MINUTES per game at home put him in the 76TH PERCENTILE in usage, it’s his hot hand and the way OKC’s offense flows that makes this so appealing. With teams forced to collapse on SGA and Jalen Williams, Dort’s consistently left wide open on the perimeter or crashing from the weak side for boards. His playoff impact has already shown—hitting double-digit points in 3 of 5 games in this series—and with this being a closeout opportunity, his floor time and confidence will stay elevated. This is an EASY ONE.

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