#1

👇T. Haliburton: O 12.5 Pts

Best line: (Underdog) USE CODE: NBAARMY | or straight bet this on NOVIG

OKC’s defense looks strong on paper, BUT they’ve been consistently exposed by high-volume perimeter creators—especially at home. They’ve allowed the MOST 3PA to opposing PGs this season, and that’s where Haliburton thrives, ranking in the 95TH percentile in 3PA with 7.6 per game. He’s cleared this number in 4 of 4 games against OKC this series, averaging 17.8 PPG, and now he gets a perfect environment to bounce back after an inefficient 1-for-7 night from deep. Don’t overlook the pace here either—Thunder games in OKC have ranked 4TH-FASTEST in tempo over the last 15, while the Pacers themselves run the 9TH-FASTEST offense league-wide. And when defenses scramble in transition, they foul—OKC has given up the 4TH-MOST FTAs over the last 15, further boosting Haliburton’s scoring floor. He’s also playing major minutes—92ND percentile in time on court—and shooting 49.6% FG over his last 15 road games, which is a near +7% increase from his road season average. This is a clean bounce-back in a matchup built for his skillset, and it all leads to one guy... Tyrese Haliburton.