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We’re already off and running! I just posted 5 more plays for today… get in there!

Way Too Early Locks of Week 15

The goal of the “way-too-early” send is to highlight (quickly) some of the best lines to attack when they first drop. The apps take some time to adjust, typically. So I’m going light on analysis here to make sure you guys get these locked in as early as possible.

#5

👇 C. Williams: O 213.5 pass yards

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Caleb Williams has already PROVEN he can DESTROY the Vikings’ pass defense, torching them for 340 yards and two touchdowns in their last meeting. Minnesota allows the 3RD-MOST passing yards to quarterbacks this season, and their struggles against the pass were on full display last week when Kirk Cousins threw for 344 yards. They’ve consistently forced opponents into pass-heavy game scripts, as they rank near the bottom in containing big plays downfield.

BUT Williams brings more than just volume—his efficiency against weak secondaries is unmatched. Completing 73% of his passes in favorable matchups, he’s shown he can pick apart defenses that fail to apply consistent pressure. The Vikings’ inability to adjust defensively, combined with Williams’ established dominance against this team, makes this projection feel EFFORTLESS. SO, with his combination of volume and accuracy, clearing 213.5 yards is a LOCK.

#4

👇 A. Rodgers: O 222.5 pass yards

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Aaron Rodgers is coming off his BEST PERFORMANCE IN YEARS, throwing for 339 yards against Miami, and now faces a Jaguars defense that ranks among the league’s WORST against the pass. Jacksonville allows the 2ND-MOST passing yards to quarterbacks and has been TORCHED for a 70.3% completion rate (30TH) and a 5.9% passing touchdown rate (31ST).

BUT this isn’t just about the Jaguars’ defensive struggles. Rodgers has found his rhythm despite battling multiple injuries, including a hamstring tear and MCL sprain. His connection with Davante Adams is clicking at the right time, with Adams pulling in 109 yards and a touchdown last week. Without Breece Hall (knee), the Jets have shifted to a pass-heavy offense, relying on Rodgers to carry the load. SO, against a defense that simply can’t stop accurate quarterbacks, Rodgers is set to CRUSH this number.

#3

👇 D. Adams: O 62.5 rec yards

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Davante Adams is in a PRIME SPOT to DOMINATE against a Jaguars secondary that ranks 28TH in points allowed to WR1s, surrendering 17 fantasy points per game to top receivers. Jacksonville also allows the 2ND-MOST passing yards to quarterbacks, creating a matchup where Adams should thrive as the Jets’ primary target.

BUT it’s not just the matchup. Adams has been a VOLUME MACHINE, averaging 10.2 targets over his last five games and delivering big plays consistently. Last week, he hauled in 109 yards and a touchdown, proving his dominance in a pass-heavy Jets offense. With Breece Hall sidelined, the Jets have leaned heavily on the passing game, and Adams’ role as Rodgers’ go-to option makes this projection feel WAY TOO LOW. SO, against a secondary that has consistently struggled to contain elite receivers, Adams is an OBVIOUS LOCK.

#2

👇 D. Henry: O 92.5 rush yards

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Derrick Henry is set to RUN WILD against a Giants defense that has been one of the WORST against the run all season. New York allows the 4TH-MOST rushing yards to running backs and is giving up an embarrassing 5.0 yards per carry, ranking 31ST in efficiency. Over their last six games, they’ve been completely TORCHED, allowing 208 yards and three touchdowns to Tampa Bay’s backfield and 269 yards to the Eagles.

BUT the real kicker is the loss of Dexter Lawrence, the Giants’ top run-stuffer, who is out for the season. This leaves their interior completely exposed against one of the league’s most dominant runners. Henry has already cleared 100 scrimmage yards seven times this year, and even in what was considered a “floor game” last week, he totaled 121 yards. SO, against this defense that has no answers for power backs, Henry CRUSHING 92.5 yards feels INEVITABLE.

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