Top-5 TNF Picks Week 1 (Ravens @ Chiefs)
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#5
Best Line: (Betr) | (DraftKings) (FanDuel) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
He's run all over the Chiefs in their last two matchups... averaging 12 carries, 81 yards, and a touchdown. But what you may not know is Kansas City ranked bottom-10 at defending running QBs last year.
#4
It would be insane to project him to reach his 66.8% carry share from last year on a team with Lamar. This week especially, as an underdog... my model has him closer to 14 carries, so this one’s a no-brainer.
#3
Best Line: (Sleeper) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Mahomes averaged 323.0 adjusted yards per game in 2023 and is projected to attempt nearly 40 passes this week. So with good O-line protection, more than 263.5 is a lock, even against the Ravens.
#2
Best Line: (Betr) (DraftKings) (FanDuel) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
In their last matchup, Rice got 9 targets and his 6.47 yards after catch (YAC) is among the NFL's best. Despite the Ravens' strong defense, this number is just way too low with Hollywood Brown out.