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- ✅ 🏈 Thursday Night Football picks (SF @ SEA) Part 2
Welcome back to NFL Drop Army.
Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NFL.
It has come to my attention that a small segment of the newsletter subs did not receive yesterday’s (Part 1) of the Week 6
TNF picks.
So I have included those below as well. I have corrected the issue with my email service so this does not happen again! Apologies.
By the way, my process starts and ends with EV Analytics, so I want to thank them for sponsoring today’s newsletter 👇
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Thursday Night Football picks (SF @ SEA)
#6
👇 D. Metcalf: U 69.5 rec yards
Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
The 49ers allow the 3rd-fewest yards per target and the 3rd-lowest catch rate to outside receivers. They'll limit his chances all night, making 67.5 way too high
#5
👇 J. Mason: O 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs
Best multiplier: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
The 49ers are leaning heavily on the ground game, and Seattle just gave up 175 rushing yards to the Giants. This player averaged 6.4 yards per carry last week and is primed for more red-zone opportunities. Lock in the touchdown for Jordan Mason.
#4
👇 G. Kittle: O 48.5 rec yards
Best Line: (Sleeper) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
The Seahawks have allowed the 5th-most receiving yards to tight ends this season, so with Kittle seeing elite usage lately, this is an easy cash. Lock it in before the line moves.
#3
👇 K. Walker III: O 19.5 rec yards
Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
The 49ers allow the 7th-most receiving yards to running backs, but Walker has averaged 46.5 yards and 5.5 catches per game over the last two weeks. So, this feels free.
#2
👇 J. Smith-Njigba: O 39.5 rec yards
Best Line: (Sleeper) (Underdog) (PrizePicks) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
San Francisco gives up a league-high 15.1 yards per target, but to slot receivers... where JSN lines up on over 80% of his snaps. So, this is an easy smash.
✅ What did you think of todays picks? |