✅ 🏈 Sunday Night Football picks (Bears @ Texans)

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Sunday Night Football picks (Bears @ Texans)

#5

👇 J. Mixon: O 15.5 longest rush

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The Bears run defense gives up a ton of big plays... Last week, they ranked bottom-3 in yards per carry allowed. But, here's the thing... most of it came from explosive runs.

#4

👇 N. Collins: O 11.5 fantasy points

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We have to talk about his dominance against zone coverage, last week, and every week... So, with Chicago leaning on that same scheme heavily in Week 1, Collins is in a great spot to smash 11.5 fantasy points as the Texans WR1.

#3

👇 S. Diggs: U 20.5 longest rec

Best Line: (PrizePicks) (Underdog) (FanDuel) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

That last sentence may trigger some people... so let's talk about it. Diggs played 55.2% of his snaps in the slot in Week 1... but keep in mind he's never exceeded 32% in the slot over his entire career. With only 1.5 air yards per target, he's not getting downfield opportunities in this offense. So a catch over 20.5 yards is highly unlikely.

#2

👇 D. Swift: U 2.5 rec

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He ran 20 pass routes in Week 1 but saw just 1 target, but we should’ve seen this coming. Caleb Williams prefers to scramble and extend plays rather than check down to his running backs. So, given that tendency is real, Swift won't sniff 2.5 receptions on Sunday night.

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