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This might be the easiest game to predict in Week 12 👇 👇

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Sunday Night Football (PHI @ LAR)

#4

👇 M. Stafford: U 24.5 completions

Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Stafford has been lighting it up lately, averaging 291.3 passing yards over the past four games. BUT his success faces a significant roadblock against the Eagles' elite defense. Philadelphia has held opposing quarterbacks to the 6TH-FEWEST completions this season, and their efficiency speaks volumes—they’ve allowed just a 67.1% adjusted completion rate, ranking as the 4TH-BEST in the NFL. Since their Week 5 bye, the Eagles' pass defense has been on fire, allowing a league-low 5.2 yards per attempt and giving up the FEWEST completions of 10+ yards across the same span. Stafford’s supporting cast also works against him in this matchup. The Rams’ offensive line is the 7TH-WORST in pass protection, giving up pressure that disrupts Stafford’s ability to execute long-developing plays. AND Philadelphia’s cornerbacks, the BEST unit in the league, excel at locking down receivers on contested throws. SO, while Stafford has been a reliable fantasy option lately, this projection feels WAY TOO HIGH against a defense that’s built to shut down volume passing games.

#3

👇 P. Nacua: U 89.5 rec yards

Best Line: (Sleeper) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Nacua’s rookie campaign has been nothing short of phenomenal, with a WR1-level 33.3% target share in recent games. BUT this week, the matchup is as tough as it gets. The Eagles have surrendered the FEWEST receiving yards per game to wide receivers this season, holding them to just 122.0 adjusted yards per game. They also allow the LEAST adjusted yards per target (7.1) to wideouts, thanks to their dominant cornerback play and defensive scheme. For Nacua, the specifics of his role make this matchup even more daunting. He’s played 68.5% of his snaps on the outside, where Philadelphia ranks 2ND-BEST in points allowed to wideouts, limiting them to just 6.3 yards per target. AND since Week 5, the Eagles have given up the 2ND-FEWEST big plays (20+ yards), making it nearly impossible for receivers to rack up yardage in chunks. SO, while Nacua’s volume might look tempting, this number feels WAY TOO HIGH against a defense that excels at erasing WR production.

#2

👇 S. Barkley: U 119.5 rush yards

Best Line: (Underdog - alt) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Barkley is coming off another dominant performance, with 198 scrimmage yards in Week 11. BUT even the league’s rushing leader will struggle to reach this projection against the Rams. Los Angeles has allowed 4.35 adjusted yards per carry this season (24TH), but their defensive ends rank as the BEST in the NFL at limiting edge runs, Barkley’s bread and butter. The Rams also excel at containing fantasy output per touch, allowing the 3RD-FEWEST points per touch to opposing backfields (0.73). AND while Barkley thrives on explosive plays, the Rams have done a great job limiting big gains on the ground, forcing teams to grind out yardage instead of breaking loose. BUT, while Barkley is still the focal point of the Eagles’ offense, this projection feels TOO HIGH given the defensive dynamics at play.

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