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Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NFL.

This is the highest Vegas total game of the year

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We’re already off and running!

I just posted 10 more plays for Sunday… get in there!

Sunday Night Football (MIN @ DET)

NOTE: You can adjust with alt lines to get these numbers if they are bumped.

#8 and #7

👇 S. Darnold: O 259.5 pass yards

👇J. Goff: O 259.5 pass yards

Best line: (PrizePicks) | USE CODE: NFLARMY | find a book to straight bet

The easiest way to start is for both quarterbacks to throw for more than 259.5 in what is already the HIGHEST over/under of the NFL season.

#6

👇 J. Jefferson: O 79.5 rec yards

Best line: (Underdog) USE CODE: NFLARMY | find a book to straight bet

He's played 4 career games in Detroit... averaging an absolutely INSANE 182.5 receiving yards which… doesn't even seem real. But also, the Lions are a top-3 defense in man coverage and blitz frequency... both categories Jefferson leads the Vikings in target share.

#5

👇 A. St. Brown: O 59.5 rec yards

Best line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY | find a book to straight bet

The Vikings give up the MOST receptions to WRs and Amon-Ra has dropped 100+ in three straight games against them. I’m laddering this one one on PrizePicks and Sleeper up to 100+.

#4

👇 J. Addison: O 3.5 rec

Best line: (Underdog) USE CODE: NFLARMY | find a book to straight bet

He's beaten in six straight games. The Lions defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (38.1 per game) this year.

#3

👇 J. Nailor: O 12.5 rec yards

Best line: (PrizePicks) | USE CODE: NFLARMY | find a book to straight bet

And you may not know this, but outside of Jefferson and Amon-Ra, it was Jalen Nailor with the most receiving yards last time these teams played with 76... so 12.5 feels straight-up disrespectful against a Lions team allowing more receiving yards to WRs than anyone.

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