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Christian McCaffrey’s rushing efficiency has been capped in this matchup, but his passing-game role continues to expand against Seattle.

• Seattle has forced the most targets to running backs this season, with 25.9% of receptions allowed going to the position, the highest rate in the league
• Averaged 8.5 targets per game across two meetings with Seattle this season, commanding target shares of 29.4% and 25.9%
• Without George Kittle on the field, McCaffrey owns 25.5% of team targets with a 28.2% target rate per route, compared to 21.5% and a 22.2% rate when Kittle plays

When rushing lanes disappear and targets funnel to backs, McCaffrey’s receiving volume clears this number.

Kyle Juszczyk’s role expands when San Francisco reshapes its formations, and the matchup pushes usage toward the backfield.

• Seattle allows the sixth-most receiving yards to backfields this season
• Without George Kittle, Juszczyk is averaging 19 receiving yards per game while lining up 38.9% at tight end and 33.3% in the slot
• In his last three playoff appearances, Juszczyk has posted 49, 31, and 33 receiving yards

When alignment versatility meets a defense vulnerable to backfield receiving, yardage accumulates quickly. My #1 pick is a Seahawk who’s facing the perfect matchup for his prop.

Kenneth Walker’s rushing role fluctuates near the goal line, but his receiving usage remains active in this matchup.

• Has cleared this number in three straight games and caught seven total passes across two meetings with San Francisco this season
• San Francisco allows the third-most receptions to running backs this season
• San Francisco just allowed three receptions for 25 yards to Saquon Barkley, reinforcing running back involvement through the air

When defenses focus on limiting explosive runs, checkdowns keep Walker involved.

Zach Charbonnet continues to dominate high-leverage touches, keeping his touchdown equity intact.

• Has scored in three straight games, totaling four touchdowns over that span
• Has scored in both games against San Francisco this season
• Out-touched Walker 30 to 10 inside the 10-yard line and 17 to 7 inside the five this season, controlling goal-line usage

When one back owns the scoring area, touchdown variance narrows.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s role has shifted closer to the line of scrimmage, but his volume remains elite.

• Cleared this number in four of his last five games and averaged eight receptions per game across two meetings with San Francisco
• Accounted for 33.1% of Seattle’s targets over the last six games, the highest rate in the league
• San Francisco allows the ninth-most receptions to wide receivers this season

When volume concentrates this heavily, reception totals follow.

Yesterday's #1 pick was Pat Freiermuth: U 34.5 Rec Yards. Result: 1 catch for 18 yards. That one hit.

Today's top pick is below.