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The NFL Divisional Round is looking EXTREMELY SOFT 👇 👇

• 2x Bankroll Builder: Low-risk plays designed for steady, consistent growth—ideal for building a solid betting foundation.

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I just posted 12 more bankroll builders for the Divisional Round… get in there!

Saturday Best Bets (HOU @ KC) (WAS @ DET)

#6

👇 J. Daniels: O 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs

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Detroit’s defense plays more man coverage than any team in the league, which creates natural running lanes for quarterbacks. In fact, they’ve allowed the 3RD-MOST rushing yards to QBs this season. But it gets better—Detroit also blitzes at a Top-5 rate, and Daniels has been lethal against the blitz, leading the league in scramble rate when facing pressure.

When you combine his athleticism, Detroit’s defensive tendencies, and his red zone usage (he’s already scored on the ground in three of his last four games), it’s clear this matchup is tailor-made for him. Detroit struggles to contain mobile quarterbacks, and Daniels thrives when defenses give him those openings.

This number feels way too low given how much he’s relied on near the goal line. A rushing touchdown for Daniels in this spot? It’s hard to see how he doesn’t deliver.

#5

👇 J. Mixon: O 49.5 rush yards

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Joe Mixon is set up for another heavy workload in a game with unmatched offensive volume. The Texans-Chiefs matchup is projected to see the HIGHEST play volume of the week at 135.1 offensive plays, giving Mixon every chance to shine. He’s expected to handle 20.8 carries, placing him in the 91ST PERCENTILE for running back workloads this week. Historically, Mixon thrives when given this type of volume: in games where he’s seen at least 20 carries, he’s surpassed 100 rushing yards in 7 OF HIS LAST 8 GAMES.

BUT even against a Chiefs defense allowing the 2ND-FEWEST yards per carry (3.8), Mixon still logged 57 yards on just 14 carries in their last matchup. That’s 4.07 YPC, showing he can overcome tough matchups with efficiency. SO, with Houston’s offensive identity heavily tied to the run game—41.49% of their plays this season—and Mixon’s proven ability to deliver late in games (60 rushing yards on the Texans’ final drive last week), this projection feels TOO LOW for his expected workload and output.

#4

👇 D. Schultz: O 29.5 rec yards

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Dalton Schultz has a prime matchup to deliver in a pass-heavy game script. The Chiefs’ defense has been a funnel for tight ends all season, allowing the MOST YARDS PER TARGET to TEs (8.8) in the league. Schultz, projected for 6.2 targets, ranks in the 95TH PERCENTILE for tight ends this week. This target volume is critical as Kansas City’s defense will likely focus on shutting down Nico Collins, Houston’s primary receiving threat.

BUT this isn’t just about volume; Schultz has already capitalized against this defense earlier this season, recording 45 yards and a touchdown in their last meeting. Additionally, the Texans are expected to pass on a slate-high 61.8% of plays, driven by their 8.5-POINT underdog status, making Schultz a key piece of their offensive game plan. SO, with the game projected to see the HIGHEST total play volume this week (135.1 plays) and Schultz operating in a role where he can exploit Kansas City’s coverage gaps, this number feels like a LOCK for him to clear.

#3

👇

J. Daniels: O 39.5 rush yards

Best line: (PrizePicks) | USE CODE: NFLARMY | find a book to straight bet 

Jayden Daniels is in the perfect spot to exploit Detroit’s defensive tendencies. The Lions allow the 3RD-MOST rushing yards to quarterbacks (26.7 per game), and their defensive scheme plays right into Daniels’ strengths. Detroit leads the league in man coverage usage (45.4%) and blitzes at the 4TH-HIGHEST rate (33.7%), creating wide-open running lanes for mobile quarterbacks like Daniels.

BUT Daniels is more than capable of capitalizing on these weaknesses. He leads the NFL in scramble rate against the blitz (10.7%) and ranks 2ND in rushing yards against man coverage (241 yards). In games against teams with similar defensive profiles, Daniels has repeatedly delivered, scoring all 6 of his rushing touchdowns against BOTTOM-8 defenses at defending running QBs. SO, with Detroit’s aggressive approach and Daniels’ ability to thrive in these situations, he should EASILY surpass this number, especially in a high-stakes playoff setting.

#2

👇 T. McLaurin: O 4.5 rec

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Terry McLaurin has been a model of consistency and efficiency, and this week’s matchup sets up perfectly for another strong performance. Detroit allows the MOST WR targets in the NFL (23.8 per game), creating a high-opportunity environment for McLaurin. He’s already proven his reliability, recording 5 OR MORE catches in 6 OF HIS LAST 7 GAMES, and he’s projected for 9.0 targets this week, ranking in the 95TH PERCENTILE among WRs.

BUT what makes McLaurin particularly dangerous is his dominance against man coverage, where he commands a 26.6% target share—the highest on Washington’s roster. Detroit plays man at the 4TH-HIGHEST rate in the league, ensuring McLaurin will see plenty of favorable opportunities. SO, with Washington expected to pass on 60.6% of plays in a dome environment that enhances passing efficiency, McLaurin clearing this number feels OBVIOUS.

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Sunday Best Bets (LAR @ PHI) (BAL @ BUF)

#7

👇 J. Hurts: O 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs

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Hurts is an unstoppable force near the goal line, and his rushing touchdown track record backs it up. Over his last 10 games, he’s found the end zone on the ground in 7 of them, and his red-zone usage is elite—he leads all quarterbacks in rushing attempts inside the 10-yard line. Against a Ravens defense that has allowed the 4TH-MOST rushing touchdowns to QBs this season, Hurts is primed to punch one in again. The Eagles’ offensive line also ranks 1ST in run-blocking efficiency, giving Hurts the perfect setup to dominate in short-yardage situations.

#6

👇 J. Allen: O 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs

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Allen thrives as a dual-threat QB, especially in high-leverage games. Over his last eight contests, Allen has averaged nearly 8 rushing attempts per game and tallied an incredible 9 rushing touchdowns in that span. He’s especially dangerous in the red zone, where his size and power make him a nightmare to defend. Facing a Ravens defense that has struggled to contain mobile QBs—allowing the 5TH-MOST rushing yards and 3RD-MOST rushing touchdowns to the position—Allen has a clear path to hitting pay dirt on the ground. With the Bills’ offense likely relying on Allen’s legs in crucial moments, this is an easy call.

#5

👇 S. Barkley: O 18.5 longest rush

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Saquon Barkley’s explosiveness is unmatched, and this number feels WAY TOO LOW given his recent dominance and matchup against the Rams. Los Angeles has allowed the MOST runs of 20+ yards over the last eight games, exposing a consistent inability to contain big plays. Barkley DESTROYED this same defense in Week 12, piling up a staggering 314 rushing yards, including TWO touchdown runs of 70+ yards. But it’s not just history—Barkley ranks among the league’s most efficient runners, averaging 5.47 yards per carry (TOP 10 among RBs). So, with Barkley handling 64.5% of the Eagles’ carries (95TH PERCENTILE in workload) and the Rams giving up 4.74 adjusted yards per carry—THE WORST mark in the NFL—he’s set to capitalize on every opportunity. The Rams’ struggles defending the run, paired with Barkley’s ability to create chunk plays, make this an OBVIOUS pick.

#4

👇 J. Hurts: O 29.5 rush yards

Best Multiplier: (PrizePicks) | USE CODE: NFLARMY | find a book to straight bet 

Jalen Hurts has a knack for stepping up in big moments, and the playoffs are no exception. In six postseason games, he has rushed for less than 30 yards just once, averaging 37 yards per game in the playoffs. But the Rams’ defense amplifies his upside—they’ve allowed the WORST rushing efficiency in the NFL, giving up 4.74 adjusted yards per carry. Hurts hit 39 rushing yards when these teams clashed in Week 12, and the Eagles are projected to be THE MOST run-heavy team this week, with a 57.6% rushing rate. So, with Hurts contributing 25.2% of Philadelphia’s ground game (95TH PERCENTILE among QBs) and consistently CRUSHING this number during the regular season with 42 rushing yards per game (3RD-MOST among QBs), this feels like a LOCK. His mobility, combined with the Rams’ struggles against the run, sets him up for another standout performance on the ground.

#3

👇 K. Williams: O 59.5 rush yards

Best line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY | find a book to straight bet 

Kyren Williams has been the Rams’ WORKHORSE all season, dominating with 78.1% of the team’s carries—ranking 1ST in workload among RBs. But even as the Eagles boast a strong defense, cracks have started to show. Over their last seven games, Philadelphia has allowed THREE running backs to eclipse 100 rushing yards, including Josh Jacobs’ 121-yard performance last week. Williams started strong in their Week 12 matchup, racking up 46 rushing yards and a touchdown in the first quarter before game script reduced his opportunities. So, with the Rams expected to lean on him heavily—Williams is projected for 22.4 carries (95TH PERCENTILE)—he has every chance to clear this number. Even with the Eagles allowing just 4.1 yards per carry (6TH-BEST), volume and recent trends against high-workload backs tilt the scales in Williams’ favor. If the Rams can stay competitive, Williams’ heavy usage will translate to another strong rushing output.

#2

👇L. Jackson: O 49.5 rush yards

Best line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY | find a book to straight bet 

Lamar Jackson’s postseason rushing prowess is UNMATCHED, and this number feels like a gift. He has averaged 86 rushing yards per game across seven playoff appearances, failing to hit 50 yards just once. But Buffalo’s defense is particularly vulnerable to mobile quarterbacks, ranking DEAD LAST in efficiency against QB runs. Jackson torched this same defense for 54 rushing yards in Week 4, and his 15 rush attempts last week were THE MOST since Week 1, signaling Baltimore’s intent to lean on his legs in critical moments. So, with Jackson accounting for 26.4% of the Ravens’ rushing workload (98TH PERCENTILE) and averaging 6.98 adjusted yards per carry—THE BEST mark among QBs—he’s primed to dominate again. The Bills’ inability to contain rushing quarterbacks plays directly into Jackson’s strengths, making this a CONFIDENT pick.

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More Sunday Night Bets (BAL @ BUF)

#5

👇 D. Henry: O 19.5 longest rush

Best line: (Underdog)| USE CODE: NFLARMY | find a book to straight bet 

Derrick Henry is a walking highlight reel, and this week’s matchup sets him up perfectly to DOMINATE. He’s exceeded this number in 8 of his last 10 games, thanks to his unmatched combination of power and explosiveness. Henry leads the league in YARDS AFTER CONTACT with 3.64 per carry (94TH PERCENTILE), meaning he doesn’t just break tackles—he DESTROYS them. In four straight games, he’s carried the ball 20+ times, averaging 6.3 YPC and topping 138 rushing yards each time.

BUT the real story lies in the matchup. The Bills’ defensive line has been the WORST in the league at stopping the run, allowing the MOST yards after contact and struggling mightily against physical backs. In Week 4, Henry absolutely TORCHED this same defense, rushing for 199 yards on 24 carries, including an 87-YARD TOUCHDOWN that set the tone early. Buffalo’s defensive schemes rely heavily on defensive backs, but the Ravens took advantage, averaging 8.8 yards per play against their light packages.

SO, with Baltimore projected to run on 51.7% of plays (2ND-HIGHEST this week) and Henry commanding a 62% carry share (91ST PERCENTILE), the opportunities will be there. What’s more, Henry gets STRONGER as the game progresses—his explosive run rate jumps from 11.6% in the first half to 15.6% in the second. Against a defense that’s shown no answers for him, this pick feels WAY TOO EASY.

#4

👇 J. Cook: U 99.5 rush+rec

Best line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY | find a book to straight bet 

James Cook has been solid recently, but this is a BRUTAL matchup that all but guarantees he falls short. The Ravens have allowed the FEWEST rushing yards to backfields this season (77.0 per game) and rank as the BEST run defense in success rate (66.8%). Their defensive tackles are ELITE, dominating the line of scrimmage and shutting down inside runs—the bread and butter of Cook’s rushing game.

BUT it’s not just Baltimore’s defense that limits Cook’s potential. Buffalo’s offense is projected to run the FEWEST plays of any team this week (62.9), and they’ve averaged a league-low 55.5 plays per game all season. Cook has also struggled to produce against top-tier defenses, going under this total in 5 of his last 8 games when facing top-10 units.

SO, with Baltimore's run defense excelling across the board and Cook’s volume capped by limited opportunities, this number feels WAY TOO HIGH. Expect the Ravens to dominate the trenches and force Buffalo into a pass-heavy game script, leaving little room for Cook to break out.

#3

👇K. Shakir: O 3.5 rec

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Khalil Shakir has quietly become one of the most reliable pieces of Buffalo’s passing game, and this number is far too low for his current role. Over the last eight games, Shakir has commanded a 25.1% target share, leading the team in consistency. He operates primarily out of the slot (69% of snaps), which is CRUCIAL against a Ravens defense allowing the 20TH-WORST yards per target to slot receivers.

BUT the matchup goes beyond individual stats. Baltimore’s defensive scheme has forced opposing quarterbacks into 35.3 pass attempts per game this season (3RD-MOST), meaning the volume will be there for Shakir to exploit. He’s also projected for 7.3 targets this week (85TH PERCENTILE), a significant boost over his season average, and caught 4 of 5 targets for 62 yards when these teams met in Week 4.

SO, with a favorable matchup, consistent usage, and the Ravens' struggles against slot receivers, Shakir is primed to clear this number EASILY. If Baltimore’s defensive tendencies hold, Shakir will once again be a key piece of Buffalo’s attack.

#2

👇 J. Allen: O 39.5 rush yards

Best line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY | find a book to straight bet 

Josh Allen’s legs have always been a weapon, and they’ll be on full display in this matchup. Allen has rushed for 40+ yards in 8 of his 11 playoff games, averaging 55 yards per game in the postseason. Over the last eight games, he’s taken his rushing volume to another level, averaging 7.9 attempts and 45.8 yards per contest while adding nine rushing touchdowns.

BUT what makes this number a LOCK is Baltimore’s defensive struggles against mobile quarterbacks. The Ravens have allowed the MOST rushing yards to QBs this season, and their pressure rate PLUMMETS on the road, dropping from 7TH-BEST at home to 27TH. This creates more scrambling opportunities for Allen, who is ELITE at extending plays, averaging 2.18 yards after contact per carry (76TH PERCENTILE among QBs).

SO, with Buffalo’s offense excelling at home (league-high 3.40 points per drive) and Allen projected for significant rushing volume, this number feels WAY TOO LOW. Against a Ravens defense ill-equipped to contain him, expect Allen to CRUSH this number and lead the Bills’ charge.

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