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Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s role expands in competitive scripts, and the matchup supports another high-volume outing.

• Surpassed this number in both games against the Rams this season, averaging 8.5 receptions
• The Rams allowed the 10th-most receptions to wide receivers this year
• Ran 43 routes in Week 11 and 40 routes in Week 16 versus Los Angeles, his two highest route totals of the season

When route volume spikes and coverage allows completions underneath, reception totals follow.

Sam Darnold’s passing profile has shifted toward efficiency and volume over explosiveness, which supports completion totals.

• Cleared this number in both games versus the Rams this season, averaging 25.5 completions
• The Rams allowed the eighth-most completions to quarterbacks during the regular season
• Over the past six games, Darnold has averaged just 6.2 air yards per attempt, ranking 29th, keeping throws shorter and more catchable

When downfield aggression is dialed back, completions accumulate.

Puka Nacua remains a matchup-breaking outlier, especially against Seattle.

• Averaging 127 receiving yards over his last seven games
• Caught 12 passes for 225 yards and two touchdowns in his most recent matchup versus Seattle
• Has seen 10 or more targets in seven straight games

When volume and efficiency converge against a familiar opponent, yardage ceilings rise quickly.

Matthew Stafford’s playoff usage and Seattle’s defensive tendencies align for another high-volume passing night.

• Has exceeded 36 pass attempts in six straight games, including a season-high 49 against Seattle
• Has surpassed this number in seven of his last eight playoff games, averaging 39.3 attempts
• Seattle forces the fifth-most passing attempts in the NFL

When game scripts push tempo and pressure scoring, Stafford’s arm stays active.

Last Sundays top picks: Drake Maye: Under 7.5 Rush Attempts and Colby Parkinson: Over 20.5 receiving yards

Final line: Maye: 4 Attempts and Parkinson: 56 receiving yards. Cash.

Let's keep it rolling. Today's #1 is below.