Wednesday 3/11

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#6 - R. Barrett: O 1.5 3-Point

RJ Barrett’s perimeter volume aligns with a defense allowing high three-point frequency.

• Has cleared this in 3 straight games, averaging 3 made threes per game
• The Pelicans have allowed the 2ND-MOST three-point attempts in the NBA over their last 20 games
• Opposing starting SGs attempt 6.1 threes per game vs. New Orleans, 4TH-MOST in the league

With volume elevated and matchup friendly, attempts stay live.

#5 - R. Westbrook: U 16.5 Points

Russell Westbrook’s scoring ceiling tightens in a slow, defensive matchup.

• Has cleared this in just 2 of his last 3 games and scored 8 points in his last matchup vs. Charlotte
• The Hornets have allowed the 2ND-FEWEST points in the NBA over their last 20 games
• Opposing starting PGs attempt just 11.3 field goals per game vs. Charlotte, the FEWEST in the league

Charlotte ranks 29TH in road pace over their last 15 games, and opposing PGs attempt just 2.9 free throws per game vs. the Hornets, 3RD-FEWEST in the NBA. My #1 pick is facing a tough matchups and won’t hit his line.

#4 - K. George: U 2.5 Rebounds

Keyonte George’s rebounding role remains limited in a slow, low-rebound environment.

• Has cleared this just once over his last 6 games, averaging 1.8 rebounds
• The Knicks have allowed the 2ND-FEWEST rebounds in the NBA over their last 20 games
• Utah ranks 23RD in pace over their last 5 games

The Knicks rank 26TH in pace over their last 25 games, reducing possession count and rebound chances.

#3 - B. Brown: U 12.5 PRA

Bruce Brown’s all-around output faces one of the league’s toughest defensive profiles.

• Has cleared this just once over his last 6 games
• Houston has allowed the 5TH-FEWEST points and assists and the FEWEST rebounds in the NBA over their last 15 games
• Opposing SGs have totaled the FEWEST points in the league vs. the Rockets over their last 20 games

Houston ranks 29TH in pace this season, and Denver ranks 29TH in offensive rebounds at home over their last 20 games, limiting secondary opportunities.

#2 - K. Towns: O 0.5 Double-Double

Karl-Anthony Towns’ consistency on the glass keeps his double-double floor intact.

• Has recorded a double-double in 7 straight games, averaging 20.6 points and 13.9 rebounds
• The Jazz have allowed the 6TH-MOST points and rebounds in the NBA over their last 10 games
• The Knicks rank 5TH in offensive rebounds this season at 13.0 per game

With sustained scoring and elite rebounding volume, the path remains clear.

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