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Royce O’Neale’s all-around production runs into the league’s most restrictive recent defense.

• Has missed this in 5 straight games, averaging 14.8 PRA
• Boston has allowed the FEWEST points and assists over their last 10 games
• Opposing starting power forwards average just 14.5 points per game vs. Boston this season, the 2ND-FEWEST in the league

With Phoenix playing at the 2ND-SLOWEST pace over their last 5 games and facing the SLOWEST team in the NBA this year, possession volume declines.

Andrew Wiggins’ perimeter volume aligns with a defense surrendering outside production.

• Has cleared this in 5 straight games, averaging 3.8 made threes
• Milwaukee has allowed the 2ND-MOST three-pointers over their last 20 games
• Opposing starting power forwards have attempted the 7TH-MOST threes per game this season vs. the Bucks (1.8)

With Miami playing at the FASTEST pace in the NBA this season and ranking 2ND in offensive rebounds over their last 15 games, extra possessions fuel perimeter attempts. My #1 pick is a PG facing a tough matchup.

CJ McCollum’s scoring and playmaking meet one of the league’s weakest defensive stretches.

• Has cleared this in 4 of his last 5 games, averaging 30.4 PRA
• Averaged 43 PRA across two matchups vs. Washington this season
• The Wizards have allowed the MOST points, 3RD-MOST rebounds, and 4TH-MOST assists over their last 10 games

With Atlanta ranking 3RD in home pace over their last 20 games and Washington 6TH in pace over that span, total possessions rise.

Kon Knueppel’s scoring and rebounding role remains elevated in a fast-paced matchup.

• Has cleared this in 7 of his last 8 games, averaging 28.5 Pts+Reb
• Has cleared this in 4 straight road games
• The Bulls have allowed the 4TH-MOST points and 6TH-MOST rebounds over their last 10 games

Chicago allows opposing starting small forwards to attempt 5.1 free throws per game at home, the MOST in the NBA, and plays at the 2ND-FASTEST pace over their last 10 games, increasing opportunity.

Jaden McDaniels’ all-around production trends upward in a high-tempo environment.

• Has cleared this in 7 of his last 8 road games, averaging 27 PRA
• Has cleared this in 3 straight matchups vs. Portland, averaging 34 PRA
• The Trail Blazers have allowed the 7TH-MOST points over their last 10 games

With Minnesota ranking 4TH in pace over their last 15 games and Portland 4TH in home pace over their last 10, possession volume expands.