Thursday 3/19

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#6 - K. Filipowski: O 2.5 Assists

Kyle Filipowski’s facilitation role continues to expand in a pace-up environment.

• Has cleared this in 8 straight games, including a 6-assist performance vs. Milwaukee in that span
• The Bucks have allowed the 3RD-MOST assists in the NBA over their last 10 games
• Utah ranks 5TH in pace this season

Utah ranks 8TH in offensive rebounds at home over their last 5 games, sustaining extended possessions.

#5 - T. Johnson: U 17.5 PRA

Tre Johnson’s production tightens in a defensive, slow-paced matchup.

• Has missed this in 4 straight games, averaging 12.8 PRA
• Has missed this in both matchups vs. Detroit this season
• The Pistons have allowed the 7TH-FEWEST points, FEWEST rebounds, and 2ND-FEWEST assists in the NBA over their last 5 games

Detroit ranks 27TH in road pace over their last 5 games, and opposing starting SGs shoot just 27.6% from three vs. the Pistons, the 2ND-LOWEST in the league. My #1 picks has missed his projection in 3 straight games.

#4 - E. Mobley: O 32.5 PRA

Evan Mobley’s expanded offensive role meets a defense hemorrhaging production.

• Has cleared this in 4 of his last 5 games, averaging 37 PRA
• Has cleared this in back-to-back matchups vs. Chicago, averaging 38.5 PRA
• The Bulls have allowed the 5TH-MOST points, 5TH-MOST rebounds, and 2ND-MOST assists in the NBA over their last 20 games

Chicago ranks 1ST in home pace over their last 10 games and has allowed 64% field goal shooting to big men over their last 4 games.

#3 - T. Harris: O 21.5 PRA

Tobias Harris’ all-around surge aligns with one of the league’s softest defensive environments.

• Has cleared this in 3 straight games, averaging 24.3 PRA
• Has cleared this in back-to-back matchups vs. Washington
• The Wizards have allowed the MOST points, MOST rebounds, and 3RD-MOST assists in the NBA over their last 5 games

Washington ranks 2ND in home pace this season, and opposing starting PFs attempt 6.0 free throws per game vs. the Wizards over their last 5 games, the 3RD-MOST in the league.

#2 - D. Bane: U 4.5 Assists

Desmond Bane’s playmaking role remains limited in a slow, assist-suppressing matchup.

• Has cleared this in just 19% of his last 16 games, averaging 3.6 assists
• Has missed this in back-to-back matchups vs. Charlotte
• The Hornets have allowed the 2ND-FEWEST assists in the NBA over their last 15 games

Charlotte ranks 28TH in pace over their last 15 games, reducing overall possession and assist opportunities.

B. Scheierman: O 13.5 PRA cashed yesterday.

Finished with 14 PRA. That’s 4 hits in a row.

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