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Collin Gillespie’s scoring surge aligns with a fast, permissive matchup.

• Has cleared this in 5 straight games, averaging 18 points per game
• Chicago has allowed the 7TH-MOST points over their last 15 games
• Opposing starting point guards attempt 4.9 free throws per game vs. the Bulls at home this season, the 9TH-MOST in the NBA

Chicago ranks 2ND in pace on the road this year, while Phoenix ranks 2ND in offensive rebounds over their last 10 games (14.7 per game), extending scoring chances.

Pat Spencer’s combined production meets a slow, restrictive defensive matchup.

• Has cleared this just once over his last 7 games, averaging 14.1 PRA
• Houston has allowed the 4TH-FEWEST points, 5TH-FEWEST rebounds, and 3RD-FEWEST assists over their last 15 games
• Opposing point guards average the 2ND-FEWEST points per game vs. the Rockets over their last 10 road games

Houston ranks 29TH in pace this season and allows the FEWEST free-throw attempts to opposing point guards on the road over their last 10 games, limiting scoring avenues. My #1 picks hasn’t hit is Pts+Reb projection in 5 straight games.

Luka Doncic’s perimeter volume remains elevated in a favorable attempt matchup.

• Has cleared this in 5 straight road games, averaging 5 made threes
• Is averaging nearly 10 three-point attempts per game over his last 5
• Denver has allowed the 2ND-MOST three-point attempts and 5TH-MOST makes over their last 10 games

When attempt volume climbs against a defense conceding perimeter looks, makes follow.

Desmond Bane’s scoring and playmaking trend aligns with a defense struggling to contain guards.

• Has cleared this in 5 of his last 6 games, averaging 30.5 Points+Ast
• Has cleared this in back-to-back matchups vs. Dallas, averaging 32 Pts+Ast
• The Mavericks have allowed the 5TH-MOST points and the MOST assists in the NBA over their last 15 games

Opposing starting shooting guards attempt 6.1 threes per game vs. Dallas this season, the 5TH-MOST in the NBA, and Dallas ranks 2ND in pace over their last 25 games, boosting possessions.

Reed Sheppard’s all-around production meets a defense trending upward in scoring allowed.

• Has cleared this in 5 straight games, averaging 28.4 PRA
• Posted 45 PRA in his last matchup vs. Golden State
• The Warriors have allowed the 9TH-MOST points over their last 5 games

Houston ranks 1ST in offensive rebounds this season, sustaining extra possession volume.