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Grant Williams’ expanded role meets one of the league’s fastest and most permissive defensive stretches.

• Has cleared this in 6 straight games, averaging 19.2 PRA
• Posted 18 PRA in his last matchup vs. Indiana
• The Pacers have allowed the 4TH-MOST points and 5TH-MOST rebounds and assists over their last 10 games

Indiana ranks 1ST in pace over their last 5 games, while Charlotte leads the league with 16.0 offensive rebounds per game over that span, creating second-chance production.

Brandon Williams’ role and matchup support continued production.

• Has cleared this in 8 of his last 9 home games, averaging 22.4 Pts+Reb
• Is averaging 18.6 points per game over his last 5 home games, 5.0 above his season home average
• The Kings rank as the WORST defense and have allowed the MOST points over their last 5 games

Dallas ranks 2ND in pace over their last 25 games, sustaining elevated possession counts. My #1 pick has been struggling from 3 lately and isn't going to hit his projection.

Alperen Sengun’s combined scoring and rebounding ceiling meets a defensive and pace-based slowdown.

• Has cleared this just once over his last 9 games and once over his last 11 road games
• Orlando ranks as the 5TH-BEST defense and has allowed the 7TH-FEWEST points over their last 10 games
• Houston ranks 29TH in pace this season, while Orlando ranks 25TH in pace over their last 5 games

With both teams operating at slower tempos, total opportunity shrinks.

Bilal Coulibaly’s all-around production aligns with a high-tempo, vulnerable defense.

• Has cleared this in 4 straight games
• Has cleared this in 5 of his last 6 matchups vs. Atlanta, averaging 23 PRA
• The Hawks have allowed the 9TH-MOST points and 4TH-MOST rebounds over their last 10 games

Washington ranks 3RD in pace over their last 5 games, and Atlanta ranks 3RD in pace this season, boosting possession volume.

DeMar DeRozan’s scoring and playmaking meet a defense struggling to contain primary creators.

• Has cleared this in 4 straight road games, averaging 22.8 Pts+Ast
• Has cleared this in 4 of his last 5 matchups vs. Dallas, averaging 28 Pts+Ast
• The Mavericks have allowed the 5TH-MOST points and the MOST assists in the NBA over their last 5 games

Dallas ranks 2ND in pace over their last 25 games, increasing possessions, while opposing small forwards attempt 3.5 free throws per game at Dallas over their last 17 home games, the 8TH-MOST in the league.