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Deni Avdija’s perimeter volume runs into one of the toughest three-point matchups.

• Has surpassed this just twice over his last 10 games, averaging 1.3 makes
• The Suns force the 6TH-FEWEST three-point attempts over their last 10 games
• Opposing starting PFs average just 0.9 made threes at Phoenix this year (FEWEST in the NBA)

Phoenix suppresses frontcourt three-point volume, limiting clean perimeter looks.

Coby White’s production trend aligns with one of the softest recent guard matchups in the league.

• Has surpassed this in 86% of his last 14 games, averaging 23.6 PRA
• Has crushed this in 8 straight vs. Miami, including 30 PRA in his last matchup
• The Heat have allowed the 6TH-MOST points and assists over their last 10 games

Opposing PGs have totaled the 4TH-MOST points vs. Miami over their last 10, and they’ve attempted the 3RD-MOST free throws, boosting scoring equity. My #1 pick is another guard who’s missed his projection in 4 straight games.

Norman Powell’s combined ceiling runs into one of the slowest and most restrictive environments.

• Has missed this in 6 straight road games, averaging just 14 Pts+Ast
• Has missed this against Charlotte this season
• The Hornets have allowed the 2ND-FEWEST points and assists over their last 10 games

Charlotte ranks 2ND-SLOWEST in pace over their last 10, shrinking total scoring opportunities.

Dillon Brooks’ scoring volume runs into one of the strongest recent defensive profiles.

• Has surpassed this just once over his last 7 games, averaging 13.1 points
• Has missed this in back-to-back matchups vs. Portland, averaging 11.5 points
• The Trail Blazers have allowed the FEWEST points in the NBA over their last 10 games

Portland limits starting SF shot volume (8.4 FGA per game on the road, FEWEST in the NBA), and Phoenix ranks 4TH-SLOWEST in pace over their last 25.

LaMelo’s rebounding volume meets a favorable pace and recent trend.

• Has cleared this in 3 straight games
• Grabbed 6 rebounds in his last matchup vs. Miami
• The Heat have allowed the 10TH-MOST rebounds over their last 30 games

Miami plays at the FASTEST tempo in the NBA this year, increasing possession volume and rebound chances.