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Dean Wade’s expanded home production meets a favorable tempo spot.

• Has cleared this in 6 straight home games, averaging 15.3 PRA
• Philadelphia has allowed the 6TH-MOST points and 3RD-MOST rebounds over their last 10 games
• Cleveland faces the 8TH-FASTEST team in pace over the last 10 games

The Cavaliers rank 10TH in offensive rebounds this season, extending second-chance opportunities.

Noah Clowney’s scoring form aligns with a fast-paced, perimeter-friendly matchup.

• Has cleared this in 3 straight games, averaging 16.7 points
• Scored 17 points in his last matchup vs. Memphis
• The Grizzlies have allowed the 4TH-MOST points over their last 10 games

Opposing starting power forwards attempt 6.5 threes per game vs. Memphis on the road, the MOST in the NBA, and Memphis ranks 3RD in road pace over their last 15 games. My #1 pick is a SG facing a tough matchup.

Kyle Filipowski’s scoring outlook benefits from defensive slippage and volume opportunity.

• Has cleared this in 3 of his last 4 home games, averaging 14.8 points
• Golden State ranks as the 8TH-WORST defense over their last 10 games
• Opposing starting power forwards attempt 14.4 field goals per game vs. the Warriors this season, the 5TH-MOST in the NBA

When shot volume climbs against a declining defense, points follow.

Gui Santos’ all-around production aligns with one of the league’s softest recent defensive stretches.

• Has cleared this in 5 of his last 6 road games, averaging 28.7 PRA
• Utah has allowed the 6TH-MOST points and 3RD-MOST assists over their last 20 games
• Opposing starting power forwards average 24.0 points per game at Utah this season, the MOST in the NBA

Golden State ranks 2ND in offensive rebounds over their last 5 games (14.2 per game), and opposing PFs attempt 5.6 free throws per game at Utah, the MOST in the league.

Jalen Brunson’s combined scoring and playmaking meet a slow, restrictive matchup.

• Has cleared this just once over his last 9 games, averaging 29 Pts+Ast
• The Clippers have allowed the 7TH-FEWEST points over their last 20 games
• Opposing starting point guards shoot 42.1% from the field vs. the Clippers this season, the 8TH-LOWEST mark in the NBA

New York ranks 5TH-SLOWEST in pace over their last 25 games, and faces a Clippers team ranked 3RD-SLOWEST this season, shrinking total possessions.