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Collin Murray-Boyles’ expanded role continues to align with one of the softest playoff assist environments.

• Has cleared this in 62% of his last 20 games
• Is 4 for 5 vs. Cleveland this series (24.4 avg vs 20.5 line)
• Cleveland allows the MOST assists in the playoffs (26.4 per game)

The Cavaliers also allow 23.7 PPG to PFs (5TH-MOST), and playoff per-minute pace projects him to 26.6 PRA, well above this number.

Brandon Ingram’s ceiling continues to shrink against Cleveland’s defensive structure.

• Has cleared this just 36% of the time over his last 20 games
• Is 1 for 5 vs. Cleveland this series (17.4 avg vs 28.5 line)
• The Cavaliers allow just 7.5 RPG to SFs this season (8TH-FEWEST)

Playoff per-minute pace projects him to 15.1 points, reinforcing the suppressed ceiling. My #1 picks has hit his projection just once in 5 games Vs. Pistons.

James Harden’s all-around profile aligns with one of the softest guard matchups in the playoffs.

• Is 3 for 5 vs. Toronto this series
• The Raptors allow the 5TH-MOST points in the playoffs (111.8 per game)
• Toronto allows 25.3 PPG to PGs this season (4TH-MOST)

They also allow a 46.2% FG rate to PGs (8TH-HIGHEST), and per-minute projections land him comfortably above this number.

Rui Hachimura’s scoring role continues to hold firm in this matchup.

• Has cleared this in 86% of his last 20 games
• Has cleared this in every game vs. Houston this series (14.8 avg vs 11.5 line)
• Opposing starting SFs hit 2.4 threes per game vs. Houston at home (3RD-HIGHEST in the NBA)

Perimeter volume and efficiency keep his path to 12+ points stable.

Cade Cunningham’s workload remains high, but Orlando’s defensive pace caps total output.

• Has cleared this just 23% of the time over his last 20 games
• Is 2 for 5 vs. Orlando this series
• The Magic allow the 2ND-FEWEST points over their last 5 games (101.6 per game)

Playoff per-minute pace projects him to 38.3 PRA, materially below this threshold.