Friday 3/13
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#6 - D. Robinson: O 1.5 Assists
Duncan Robinson’s secondary playmaking benefits from pace and defensive leakage.
• Has cleared this in 8 straight home games, averaging 3 assists per game
• Memphis ranks as the 3RD-WORST defense and has allowed the 9TH-MOST assists over their last 20 games
• The Grizzlies rank 2ND in road pace over their last 20 games
Detroit ranks 2ND in offensive rebounds at home over their last 5 games, extending possessions and assist opportunities.
#5 - O. Anunoby: O 21.5 Pts+Reb
OG Anunoby’s scoring and rebounding profile aligns with a fast, favorable matchup.
• Has cleared this in 3 of his last 4 games, averaging 28.5 P+R
• Has cleared this in back-to-back matchups vs. Indiana
• The Pacers have allowed the 2ND-MOST points and 4TH-MOST rebounds over their last 15 games
Indiana ranks 3RD in pace over their last 25 games, and opposing starting PFs attempt 5.8 free throws per game vs. the Pacers this season, the MOST in the NBA. My #1 pick missed his assist projection 6 straight times against his opponent.
#4 - R. Barrett: U 3.5 Assists
RJ Barrett’s assist ceiling remains capped in a low-creation matchup.
• Has missed this in 7 straight games, averaging 2 assists per game
• The Suns have allowed the FEWEST assists in the NBA over their last 5 games
• Toronto ranks 29TH in offensive rebounds over their last 5 games
With limited second-chance creation and suppressed assist environment, distribution volume stays low.
#3 - J. Holiday: O 20.5 Pts+Reb
Jrue Holiday’s recent surge aligns with a pace-driven, rebound-friendly environment.
• Has cleared this in 5 of his last 6 games, averaging 25.3 P+R
• Has cleared this in both matchups vs. Utah this season, averaging 36 P+R
• The Jazz have allowed the 6TH-MOST points and 8TH-MOST rebounds over their last 10 games
Utah ranks 3RD in road pace over their last 25 games, and Portland ranks 1ST in offensive rebounds over their last 25 games, sustaining second-chance volume.
#2 - E. Mobley: O 19.5 Pts+Ast
Evan Mobley’s expanded offensive role meets a defense struggling to contain production.
• Has cleared this in 3 of his last 4 games
• Has cleared this in his last 2 matchups vs. Dallas, averaging 31.5 P+Ast
• The Mavericks have allowed the 5TH-MOST points and the MOST assists over their last 20 games
Dallas ranks 2ND in home pace over their last 15 games, increasing total possessions for Cleveland.
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