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TNF picks - Part 2 (HOU @ NYJ)

#5

👇 T. Dell: U 11.25 fantasy points

Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Dell may be the last man standing, but he’s up against a Jets defense allowing the league’s lowest catch rate to outside receivers and the 2nd-fewest fantasy points. His role is bigger, but this defense doesn’t let outside receivers do damage. This one’s all about the matchup, and he’s not getting there.

#4

👇 D. Adams: O 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs

Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Adams is lining up in the slot twice as much as he did with the Raiders, and Houston has allowed more slot receiver touchdowns than any other team this season. The Texans simply can’t contain slot threats, making this the perfect setup. With Adams seeing more red-zone looks, this one feels like free money..

#3

👇 G. Wilson: O 19.5 longest rec

Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Houston defends outside receivers better than slot guys, but when they do get beat, it’s always deep. They’re giving up the 5th-most big plays to outside receivers, and Wilson’s cleared this number in 4 of his last 5 games. The line’s a soft one, so we’ll keep punishing the apps for these longest reception projections.

#2

👇 C.J. Stroud: U 239.5 pass yards

Best Line: (Underdog - alt) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Stroud is missing his top two targets against a Jets defense that has locked down QBs all season, allowing the 3rd-fewest passing yards and the 2nd-lowest adjusted completion rate. Without his key weapons, Stroud’s number is way too high, especially given this tough matchup.