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Another newsletter I think you’ll love…

Monday Night Football (NYG @ PIT)

#4

👇 G. Pickens: O 19.5 longest rec

Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

George Pickens has become Russell Wilson’s go-to deep threat, and this matchup is set up perfectly for him to hit higher than 19.5 yards on his longest reception. The Giants’ secondary has allowed the highest completion rate in the league when not pressuring the passer this season, giving Wilson and Pickens ample opportunity to connect deep. But given the Giants’ strength in creating pressure, you might think Pickens' deep chances are limited. However, he’s been one of the most targeted receivers against man coverage, with a 33.3% target share on those routes. So, in a game where Pickens will get plenty of 1-on-1 opportunities, he’s primed for another big play downfield.

#3

👇 W. Robinson: O 24.5 rec yards

Best Line: (Sleeper) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Wan’Dale Robinson’s role in the Giants' offense has been growing, making this week’s projection of higher than 24.5 receiving yards look appealing. The Steelers have been vulnerable to slot receivers all season, allowing the 5th-most catches per game in the slot over their last eight games. But with Robinson averaging a modest 7.0 yards per catch, you might think he’s a low-ceiling play. However, he’s seeing a huge share of the action, with a 9.6-target average, keeping him heavily involved each game. So, with Pittsburgh’s defense also giving up the 6th-most yards-after-catch to opposing wideouts, Robinson has the volume and a favorable matchup to exceed his projection with ease.

#2

👇 M. Nabers: U 12.35 fantasy points

Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Malik Nabers has been a target hog for the Giants, but he’s facing a major challenge this week against a Steelers defense that has held its own against top wideouts. Pittsburgh’s defensive unit has allowed the 2nd-fewest fantasy points per game to WR1s this season, putting Nabers in a tough spot to reach double digits. You might expect his high target count to be a safety net, but the Giants are expected to lean on the run as slight favorites. So, with Pittsburgh’s pass coverage remaining among the league’s best, Nabers lower than 12.35 fantasy points is a solid call this week.