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We’re locked in, hitting 73% of our last 45 MLB picks 🤯

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Top MLB Picks (5/22)

#5

👇J. Ramirez: O 0.5 Total Bases

Best line: (Underdog) USE CODE: MLBARMY | or straight bet this on NOVIG

Jose Ramirez has been on an ABSOLUTE TEAR, delivering at least two total bases in 13 STRAIGHT GAMES while batting a scorching .400 over that stretch. But today, the setup at Comerica Park takes that heater to the next level. The 13.8 MPH WIND BLOWING OUT TO CENTER FIELD is the STRONGEST hitting wind on the slate and creates a MASSIVE boost for power hitters, especially at a venue already known for extra-base hits. Plus, this is happening in a ballpark with the 4TH-SHORTEST FENCE HEIGHT in Major League Baseball—making those line drives and flyballs far more dangerous. So with elite form, the BEST hitting weather, and one of the most favorable stadium setups possible, this number looks completely broken. There’s no slowing him down today—this is a LOCK.

👇C. Yelich: U 1.5 Hits+Run+RBIs

Best line: (Sleeper) USE CODE: MLBARMY | or straight bet this on NOVIG

Christian Yelich has come up short in 12 OF HIS LAST 14 GAMES, missing this number a WHOPPING 86% of the time—and today's matchup does him ZERO favors. But the biggest issue is where he's playing: PNC PARK RANKS AS THE 2ND-WORST STADIUM IN BASEBALL FOR LEFTY HOME RUNS, according to THE BAT, a brutal setup for a player who relies on driving the ball. On top of that, he’ll be facing a Pirates infield that ranks as the 3RD-BEST IN DEFENSIVE EFFICIENCY TODAY, eliminating easy ground-ball singles and bloopers. So even though he’s in a strong lineup spot, this projection doesn’t reflect how much the PARK FACTORS AND DEFENSE STACK AGAINST HIM. This pick should NOT be on the board—FADE IT confidently.

#3

👇W. Brennan: U 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

Best line: (PrizePicks) USE CODE: MLBARMY | or straight bet this on NOVIG

Will Brennan has been ICE COLD at the plate, posting an abysmal .091 BATTING AVERAGE this season, and the opportunity just isn’t there today. He’s projected to hit 9TH IN THE ORDER, limiting plate appearances and run-producing chances more than anyone else in the lineup. But what really buries this number is the context: Comerica Park ranks as the 5TH-BEST PARK FOR SUPPRESSING OFFENSE according to THE BAT, and with cold weather on deck, it’s even tougher to manufacture hits. Add in the fact that Brennan has been PINCH-HIT FOR IN 30% OF HIS STARTS VS RIGHT-HANDED PITCHERS since last season, and it becomes clear—there’s a strong chance he doesn’t even finish the game. So with no form, no volume, and no runway for production, this number is DEAD ON ARRIVAL.

#2

👇R. Hassell: U 0.5 Runs

Best line: (PrizePicks) USE CODE: MLBARMY | or straight bet this on NOVIG

Robert Hassell is making his BIG-LEAGUE DEBUT, and everything about this matchup screams “stay away.” He’s hitting 7TH IN THE LINEUP, already cutting down his plate chances, BUT he’s also stepping into NATIONALS PARK—THE #1 STADIUM IN BASEBALL FOR SUPPRESSING LEFTY BATTING AVERAGE, according to THE BAT. That’s a death sentence for a left-handed rookie trying to find a rhythm. To make matters worse, he’s facing AJ SMITH-SHAWVER, who enters today with a SHARP 2.33 ERA, one of the best arms on the slate. And if that wasn’t enough, the BRAVES' INFIELD DEFENSE RANKS 4TH-BEST out of all teams today, making it even harder for Hassell to sneak anything through. So with a tough park, a tougher pitcher, and almost zero margin for error, this debut is set up to FAIL. Stay far away.

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