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Tramon Mark’s scoring outlook aligns with tournament defensive trends.

• Has cleared this in 6 of his last games
• Has cleared this in 4 of his last 5 road games, averaging 16.6 points
• Purdue has allowed the 3RD-MOST points in this tournament among Sweet 16 teams

Elevated scoring allowance keeps shot volume intact.

Fletcher Loyer’s recent surge aligns with one of the weakest remaining tournament defenses.

• Has cleared this in 4 of his last 5 games, averaging 22.2 PRA
• Posted 27 PRA in his last game
• Texas allowed 76.1 PPG this season, the 3RD-WORST of any Sweet 16 team

Texas entered March Madness as the 2ND-WORST defense in the field, and Loyer is shooting 67% from three on 12 attempts over two tournament games. My #1 pick has crushed his projection in both March Madness Games.

Jaden Bradley’s rebounding role aligns with Arkansas’ positional vulnerability.

• Has cleared this in 5 of his last 7 games
• Arkansas has allowed 6 rebounds per game to opposing starting PGs in its first two tournament games
• Arkansas allowed 34.5 rebounds per game this season, the 2ND-MOST of any Sweet 16 team

Volume on the glass supports continued rebound production.

David Mirkovic’s total production tightens against elite defense.

• Has cleared this just twice over his last 8 road games
• Posted 16 PRA in his last game vs. VCU, shooting 3-of-8
• Houston entered the tournament with the 3RD-RANKED defense nationally

Houston has allowed just 52 PPG in the tournament, the FEWEST of any team, and opposing PFs have averaged just 10 PRA in the first two rounds.

Darius Acuff’s all-around dominance continues at the highest level.

• Has cleared this in 5 of his last 6 games, averaging 41.3 PRA
• Posted 43 PRA in Round 2 while shooting 50% from three
• Leads all Sweet 16 players in scoring this tournament at 23.3 PPG

High usage and scoring leadership sustain elevated total output.

D. Vassell: O 13 Points cashed yesterday.

Finished with 19 Points. That’s 7 hits over our last 8 days.

My next #1 pick is below.