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Time to crush Week 3 👇 👇

Another newsletter I think you’ll love…

Game of the Week (Texans @ Vikings)

#5

👇 N. Collins: O 71.5 rec yards

Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Nico Collins has solidified himself as Houston’s WR1 and is coming off a huge game with 135 yards. His projection of 71.5 yards seems almost too low. But, Minnesota’s defense has been tough, allowing the 9th-fewest adjusted yards per target to wide receivers since last season. So, why take the higher? Collins is expected to see 8.5 targets, putting him in the 92nd percentile for Week 3. Minnesota runs a ton of two-high looks, but Collins dominates those downs, and the Vikings rank 25th in points allowed to outside receivers, where Collins runs 90% of his routes. With big-play potential and strong YAC, Collins is a solid pick for the higher.

#5

👇 J. Jefferson: O 76.5 rec yards

Best Line: (Underdog) (PrizePicks) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Justin Jefferson is set up for a big game with a projection of 76.5 receiving yards, even with a quad injury in play. The Vikings are playing in a dome, ensuring optimal passing conditions. But, while there may be concern about his health, Jefferson is expected to see 10.5 targets, ranking him in the 100th percentile for WRs this week. The Texans’ defense has allowed the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target over their last 15 games, making this a prime opportunity for Jefferson to go over. So, in a fast-paced game where the Vikings are 3.5-point underdogs and likely to lean on the pass, lock in the higher for Jefferson.

#4

👇 S. Darnold: O 229.5 pass yards

Best Line: (Underdog) (Betr) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Sam Darnold has been on fire through two weeks, ranking 3rd in the NFL in yards per attempt, and he’s projected to air it out again in Week 3. The Vikings are 3.5-point underdogs, which means they’ll need to throw, especially with this fast-paced game projecting the 4th-most total plays. But, some might be cautious due to Houston’s defense, which ranks 8th in passing yards allowed per game. So, why take the higher? Minnesota is expected to pass on 62.2% of their plays, and Houston’s defense has given up the 8th-most adjusted yards per target since last season. Darnold will have plenty of opportunities to clear 229.5 yards with ease.

#3

👇 A. Jones: O 17.5 rec yards

Best Line: (Underdog) (PrizePicks) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Aaron Jones has been a reliable receiving option for the Vikings, and this projection of 17.5 yards feels way too low. Houston brings heavy pressure, which could limit downfield passes. But, the solution is quick throws to Jones, who runs twice as many routes as Ty Chandler. Jones dominates in passing situations with a 66% snap share, and he excels after the catch, ranking in the 91st percentile in YAC. So, with Minnesota expected to skew pass-heavy, lock in the higher as Jones should easily surpass 17.5 receiving yards.

#2

👇 S. Diggs: O 4.5 rec

Best Line: (Underdog) (Betr) (PrizePicks) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Stefon Diggs might not be putting up massive yardage, but 4.5 receptions is a great number for him. His shorter route tree has kept him from stretching the field as much as we’d like. But, Houston is projected to run the 2nd-most plays this week, which means plenty of targets for Diggs. So, with Minnesota’s defense allowing the 5th-most pass attempts since last season and Diggs thriving in short-to-intermediate routes, he’s a lock to surpass 4.5 receptions in his return to U.S. Bank Stadium.