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Kenneth Walker’s role has fully consolidated, and his scoring profile has spiked since the backfield thinned out.

• Has scored four total touchdowns over his last two games since Charbonnet went down
• Logged 45 total touches for 256 yards over that stretch, confirming true workhorse usage
• Running backs account for 24% of the receptions allowed by New England, the third-highest rate in the league

When volume, scoring chances, and receiving equity all align, Walker’s touchdown path stays intact..

Hunter Henry’s role remains heavily tied to scoring situations, and the matchup continues to funnel opportunities his way.

• Scored eight touchdowns this season, the second-most among tight ends
• Owns 33.8% of his team’s red-zone targets, the highest share at the position
• Seattle has allowed the fifth-most receptions to tight ends this season

When red-zone usage meets sustained tight end volume, Henry’s touchdown equity stays live. My #1 pick is a different Tight End who might struggle to find the end-zone.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s usage remains strong, but the matchup significantly suppresses his touchdown equity.

• Will see Christian Gonzalez in coverage on a high percentage of routes, who has allowed a 44.8% catch rate and just one touchdown this season
• New England has allowed only three wide receiver touchdowns over the last five weeks
• The Patriots force the fifth-fewest wide receiver targets in the NFL, limiting overall scoring chances

When elite perimeter coverage meets a low-touchdown environment, finding the end zone becomes unlikely.

Rhamondre Stevenson has fully reclaimed control of the backfield, and the matchup boosts his scoring upside through the air.

• Out-touched Henderson 25 to 3 last week, confirming feature-back status
• No team allowed more receptions to running backs than Seattle this season
• Seattle surrendered a receiving touchdown to Kyren Williams last week

When backfield control meets a defense leaking production to backs, Stevenson’s touchdown path opens.

Last week we rode Puka Nacua to score.

That one hit.

Today's top pick is below.