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Another newsletter I think you’ll love…

Sunday Night Football (PIT @ DAL)

#3

👇 C. Lamb: U 6.5 rec

Best Line: (Sleeper) (Underdog)| USE CODE: NFLARMY

This player’s volume has taken a hit this season, especially against Cover 3, where his target share has dropped to 15.2%. Pittsburgh, of course, runs Cover 3 the 2nd most in the league. Add in the fact that when Dak is pressured, this guy only sees 10.7% of the targets—and the Steelers love to bring pressure. So when you see a line of 6.5 receptions, it just feels way too high. Who am I talking about? CeeDee Lamb. Lock the under.

#2

👇 J. Fields: O 46.5 rush yards

Best Line: (PrizePicks) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Fields is about to take off—last week was just the start. He ran for 41 yards and 2 touchdowns after halftime, showing he's back to his rushing ways. Dallas has allowed the 3rd most rush attempts and 6th most rushing yards to QBs. This matchup is perfect, and the line is way too low. Fields clears this easily.

Monday Night Football (KC @ NO)

#3

👇 A. Kamara: U 98.5 rush + rec yards

Best Line: (Underdog) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Kamara isn’t hitting 100 yards this week. The Chiefs are holding backs to just 3.12 yards per carry (2nd in the league) and are a top-3 defense against RBs in the passing game. Kamara’s up against a tough matchup—this under is a lock.

#2

👇 P. Mahomes: U 18.0 fantsy points

Best Line: (PrizePicks) | USE CODE: NFLARMY

Mahomes has struggled to reach his usual fantasy heights this season, with his passing game being more restricted than expected. Averaging just 5.6 air yards per pass attempt (32nd in the league), Mahomes is throwing short often, with 35.5% of his passes at or behind the line of scrimmage. Injuries to key players like Rashee Rice make the Chiefs’ offense less dynamic, limiting Mahomes’ ceiling. Facing a Saints defense that’s allowed only one touchdown pass in four weeks and ranks first in limiting points per pass attempt, this is a tough matchup for Mahomes to break through. Under 18.0 fantasy points looks solid here.