- Joe’s Betting Picks (Early Drop List)
- Posts
- ✅🏈Best Any-Time TD bets (Week 3)
✅🏈Best Any-Time TD bets (Week 3)
Free Picks Inside!
Any-Time TD
Football is rolling into Week 3, and the end zone edges are clear. Here are my favorite Anytime TD plays… in two minutes or less.
|
#6 - C. Lamb: O 0.5 Total Touchdowns
CeeDee Lamb is locked into elite usage, commanding a 27.7% target share (95TH PERCENTILE) and averaging 82 yards per game since last year. But this week sets him up for a touchdown as Dallas is projected for the 3RD-MOST offensive plays of the week, creating extra red-zone chances. Chicago’s defense has given up the 3RD-MOST yards per target to receivers since last season, and their safeties rank as the 2ND-WORST coverage unit. Plus, Lamb’s efficiency has spiked to 9.65 yards per target this year, showing he’s winning deeper and more often. So with volume, matchup, and scoring environment all peaking, Lamb isn’t just live for a score, he’s a great bet to find the end zone.
#5 - C. McCaffrey: O 0.5 Total Touchdowns
Christian McCaffrey has been the single most reliable scorer in football because no back in the league touches the ball more. He’s averaging 25 touches per game, the MOST among all RBs through two weeks. That kind of workload is unmatched, guaranteeing opportunities in every phase of the offense whether on the ground, in the passing game, or inside the red zone. But here’s where the matchup makes this pick impossible to ignore: the Cardinals have allowed a running back to score in BOTH games this season, including a receiving touchdown to Chuba Hubbard last week. They’re already looking like one of the 3RD-WORST defenses in football at stopping RBs from finding the end zone. So with McCaffrey not only scoring last week but also controlling elite volume in the most efficient red-zone offense in the league, this projection feels like a LOCK. He’s simply too involved and too consistent not to punch in another score here.
#4 - J. Taylor: O 0.5 Total Touchdowns
Jonathan Taylor has returned to full-blown workhorse status, ranking 2ND in the NFL in touches with 48 already this season, and no one has run the ball more effectively. He currently LEADS the league in rushing yards. That combination of high volume and explosive efficiency is exactly what wins in DFS. But the matchup is what really seals it: the Titans have been one of the worst run defenses in football so far, giving up the 4TH-MOST rushing yards and already tied for the 2ND-MOST rushing touchdowns allowed with three surrendered through just two games. That makes Tennessee a clear funnel for opposing RBs in scoring range. So with Taylor already proving he can get it done as both a rusher and receiver, even adding a receiving score last week, the chances of him crossing the goal line again feel obvious. This is a spot where his workload and the defense’s weakness line up perfectly, making more than 0.5 touchdowns feel WAY TOO LOW.
#3 - B. Robinson: O 0.5 Total Touchdowns
Bijan Robinson is sitting 5TH in the league in touches through two weeks, cementing his role as Atlanta’s do-it-all weapon. He’s getting the ball consistently in every situation, but this week’s matchup against Carolina is where it gets exciting. The Panthers were the WORST run defense in football last year, giving up a ridiculous 180 rushing yards per game and the 2ND-MOST touchdowns to RBs, and nothing has changed. They’re still one of the most generous defenses in the league. The most important detail is that through just two games in 2025, they’ve already allowed 140 rushing yards per game and 2 rushing touchdowns to opposing RBs, proving that their run defense is still broken. So with Bijan controlling volume and Carolina unable to stop backs from scoring week after week, this is the perfect spot for him to hit paydirt. It feels like the obvious week for Bijan to get his first touchdown of the year, and this projection is built to be smashed.
#2 - K. Williams: O 0.5 Total Touchdowns
Kyren Williams is about to get fed again, with 17 projected carries this week putting him in the 89TH PERCENTILE for expected workload and commanding 73.8% of team carries, which ranks 97TH PERCENTILE. That type of role guarantees red-zone chances, and Kyren has already proven he can cash in, averaging 83 rushing yards per game since last year with consistent goal-line usage. But here’s what makes this spot too good to pass up: he’s already TORCHED Philly before, averaging 89 rushing yards in two games against them last season, and the Eagles just got BULLDOZED BY THE COWBOYS BACKFIELD in Week 1. Their run defense is still one of the easiest in football to exploit. So with elite volume, historical success in this matchup, and a likely run-heavy script for the Rams, Kyren is set up perfectly to find the end zone. More than 0.5 touchdowns feels like one of the safest plays on the slate.
That’s the list. The best Week 3 scoring spots won’t stay hidden long—strike now and own Sunday.
As promised, in two minutes or less.
See you out there,
-Joe
P.S. this week only… You can get $50 after playing just $5 on DraftKings Pick6 if you sign up using code HOLKA