- Joe’s Betting Picks (Early Drop List)
- Posts
- ✅ 🏈 Best Any-Time TD bets (Week 3)
✅ 🏈 Best Any-Time TD bets (Week 3)
Free Bets Inside!
Welcome back to NFL Drop Army.
Think of me as your smart, no-bs friend, who spends far too much time thinking about +EV ways to bet on the NFL.
It’s probably time to talk more about my secret weapon 👇 👇

My process starts and ends with EV Analytics, so I want to thank them for sponsoring today’s newsletter 👇
Crush Your Bets with the Most Sophisticated NFL Projections!
• Lines move quickly, so don’t miss out on early Week 3 betting opportunities! Derek Carty’s football player prop projection model, THE BLITZ—now offered exclusively on EV Analytics—is here to help you stay ahead of the sportsbooks and bet like a pro.
• Leverage THE BLITZ's cutting-edge analytics and advanced projections to uncover hidden value in NFL player props the books aren't accounting for. Gain the confidence to make smarter bets with real-time data at your fingertips.
Take advantage of our 20% off NFL Full Season Premium on EV Analytics and start making smarter bets today—this offer won’t last long!
Get the discount → (link) 👀
|

Best Any-Time TD bets (Week 2)

#8
👇 J. Gibbs: O 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs
Partners: (Underdog) (PrizePicks) | (DraftKings) (FanDuel) (BetMGM) (Caesars) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Gibbs has been electric, seeing a 15.1% target share, ranking in the 95th percentile for RBs. But Montgomery steals red-zone carries, limiting Gibbs’ chances near the goal line. So, with the Cardinals allowing the 3rd-most yards to RBs, Gibbs' explosive playmaking gives him multiple paths to score from anywhere on the field.
#7
👇D. Montgomery: O 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs
Partners: (Underdog) (PrizePicks) | (DraftKings) (FanDuel) (BetMGM) (Caesars) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Montgomery has scored in 8 of his last 9 games, but the Cardinals’ defense ranks 4th-best against RBs in the passing game. So, while his receiving upside is limited, Arizona’s defense has given up the 3rd-most rushing yards to RBs, making Montgomery a solid choice to punch one in.
#6
👇 J. Chase: O 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs
Partners: (Underdog) (PrizePicks) | (DraftKings) (FanDuel) (BetMGM) (Caesars) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Chase has had a slow start to the season, but this matchup is PERFECT for a blow-up. Washington's defense has allowed the most receiving yards to WR1s since last season, and Chase is projected for nearly 10 targets, ranking him in the 98th percentile. But the Bengals are 7-point favorites, meaning a heavy rushing script could limit volume. So, even if the Bengals lean on the run, Chase’s talent and Washington’s atrocious secondary make him a near LOCK to find the end zone.
#5
👇 Z. Moss: O 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs
Partners: (Underdog) (PrizePicks) | (DraftKings) (FanDuel) (BetMGM) (Caesars) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
He’s taken control of the backfield and now faces a defense that’s allowing 4.6 yards per carry to RBs. The Bengals have the highest implied team total, so expect plenty of red zone chances. With his role locked in, Zack Moss is primed to find the end zone.
#4
👇 A. Kamara: O 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs
Partners: (Underdog) (PrizePicks) | (DraftKings) (FanDuel) (BetMGM) (Caesars) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Kamara would have had 5 TDs last week if Carr hadn’t taken one at the goal line. But even though this week’s opponent, Philly, hasn’t allowed a rushing TD, they’ve given up the MOST yards per carry to RBs. So, Kamara finding the end zone is a LOCK.
#3
👇 D. Henry: O 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs
Partners: (Underdog) (PrizePicks) | (DraftKings) (FanDuel) (BetMGM) (Caesars) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Henry thrives in positive game scripts, and the Ravens are projected to run the ball at the 8th-highest rate this week. But if they fall behind, Henry’s role could shrink. So, with Dallas having allowed the MOST rushing touchdowns to RBs this season, Henry’s chances of finding the end zone look strong in a close game.
#2
👇 J. Mason: O 0.5 Rush+Rec TDs
Partners: (Underdog) (PrizePicks) | (DraftKings) (FanDuel) (BetMGM) (Caesars) | USE CODE: NFLARMY
Mason gets nearly all the 49ers’ rushing work, and the Rams have given up the 3rd-most rushing yards to RBs this season.
What did you think of today's picks? ✅ |