✅🏈Best Any-Time TD Bets (Week 14)

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Any-Time TD

Football is rolling into Week 14, and the end zone edges are clear. Here are my favorite Anytime TD plays… in two minutes or less.

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#5 - J. Smith-Njigba

Smith-Njigba thrives against zone-heavy defenses, and Atlanta’s coverage tendencies play directly into his strengths.

  • Falcons run SINGLE-HIGH on 64% and COVER 3 on 48.7% of snaps, which are JSN’s best splits

  • Holds a 36.8% first-read target share and 3.73 YPRR against single-high coverages

  • Atlanta has allowed the 8TH-MOST WR touchdowns, including multiple scores to lead receivers over the last three games

Seattle’s offense is built to isolate him against those static looks, and his recent touchdown surge makes this number reachable on a single red-zone target.

#4 - D. Achane

Achane’s blend of volume, speed, and efficiency makes him one of the most dangerous backs on this slate.

  • Leads all RBs with 17.2% of carries gaining 10+ yards (1ST among 38 qualified backs)

  • Jets have allowed the 2ND-MOST touchdowns to running backs this season

  • Has 100+ total yards in four straight games with 20+ touches in five straight

New York’s front struggles to finish plays, and Achane’s burst after contact turns any crease into a scoring chance. The #1 pick for this slate faces a defense that is just as vulnerable when it counts most.

#3 - D. Waller

Waller’s route volume is back up, and this matchup perfectly fits his scoring profile.

  • Jets allow an 8.1% touchdown rate to tight ends, 3RD-HIGHEST in the league

  • Already scored 2 touchdowns against the Jets in their first meeting

  • Logged a 71% route rate last week, signaling full health and usage

New York has struggled to handle athletic tight ends in space, and Waller’s red-zone involvement makes him the primary scoring threat in this passing game.

#2 - J. Jefferson

Jefferson’s elite usage and Washington’s coverage issues line up for a true bounce-back spot.

  • Commands a 31.6% target share and 39.1% of air yards from McCarthy

  • Washington ranks 27TH in touchdown rate allowed to WR1s and has given up the 6TH-MOST touchdowns to wide receivers overall

  • WR1s are averaging 10.2 yards per target, 3RD-HIGHEST against this defense

Even with recent dips in production, Jefferson’s opportunity and this matchup create one of his best scoring setups in weeks.

My #1 Any-Time Touchdown Pick

This is the clearest touchdown edge of the week. It’s preloaded and ready.

That’s the list. The best Week 14 scoring spots won’t stay hidden long, strike now and own Sunday.

-Joe

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