It’s that time of year when stats turn into cash. A handful of NFL players are one game away from big bonuses, and I’ve found the ones chasing real incentives… in two minutes or less

Rico Dowdle is just 113 total yards away from a $1 million incentive, and this matchup quietly forces his production into the pass game.

• Tampa Bay allows the most receiving yards to running backs
• Buccaneers are tough between the tackles, eliminating efficient inside runs
• Incentive-driven usage spikes in must-win NFC South games

They can shut down RB carries, but they can’t stop RB targets. 14.5 receiving yards is the clearest path to the bonus.

Stefon Diggs needs just 3 catches to unlock a $500k incentive, and this matchup naturally feeds catch volume.

• Cleared this mark in 13 of 14 games this season
• Baltimore allows the 6th-most receptions to wide receivers
• Defensive structure favors completion-based passing

This isn’t about ceiling, it’s about incentives and floor. Three catches clears easily. But my #1 pick on this slate is the quarterback, chasing a $1 million passing incentive that actually matters.

Trey McBride is chasing history, sitting 11 receptions away from the single-season tight end record, with no reason for Arizona to slow him down.

• Averages 10 targets per game
• Coming off a 12-catch performance
• Usage holds even in blowout losses

Milestone season plus locked-in volume. 5.5 receptions is a lock.

Justin Jefferson is closing in on major milestones, needing 168 yards for 1,000 and 112 to set the six-season record.

• Giants allow the 5th-most receiving yards to wide receivers
• Team incentives align with featured usage
• Quiet last game sets up intentional re-engagement

When milestones meet a soft pass defense, production is intentional. 59.5 gets cleared.

This is the biggest incentive edge of the week and the one the market hasn’t caught up to yet. It’s preloaded and ready

👉Tap HERE to open the Gambly slip and lock it in

That’s the list. Incentive week always brings chaos, and the smartest edge is knowing who’s playing for something extra

-Joe

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