Contract Incentives

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#10 - K. Allen: O 39.5 Rec Yards

Keenan Allen is chasing one of the most aggressive incentive ladders on the slate, putting real money behind every short-area target.

• $750,000 for 6 receptions, $250,000 for just 9 receiving yards, and $250,000 for 2 touchdowns, stacking volume and scoring incentives
• Already cleared this easily in the first matchup with 7 catches for 65 yards and a touchdown, confirming role stability when incentives are live
• Catch-based incentives reward short-area volume, not efficiency or big plays

With microscopic thresholds and every route carrying financial weight, this yardage number clears on pure incentive-driven volume.

#9 - S. Darnold: O 2.5 Pass TDs

Sam Darnold has direct financial motivation to stay aggressive, especially near the goal line.

• $500,000 for 150 passing yards and $500,000 for 3 passing touchdowns, tying money directly to scoring
• Has already thrown 3 or more passing touchdowns three times this season in volume-driven scripts
• Game carries number one NFC seed implications, eliminating any clock-killing approach

With incentives aligned to touchdowns and a throw-to-win environment, this projection clears through scoring pressure.

#8 - S. Diggs: O 7.5 Rec 

Stefon Diggs has a million-dollar reason to command targets early and often.

• $500,000 for 8 receptions and another $500,000 for reaching 90 total catches
• Logged 15 receptions over his last two games, confirming sustained volume
• Dolphins allowed 58 receptions over the last two weeks, one of the highest totals in football

When matchup volume meets incentive pressure, eight catches becomes the baseline outcome. My #1 Incentive is another Patriot pass catcher looking to get paid.

#7 - S. Barkley: O 99.5 Total Yards

Saquon Barkley’s incentive structure ties value directly to total production.

• Needs 87 scrimmage yards to unlock a $250,000 bonus
• Averaging 104 total yards over his last four games, confirming repeatable workload
• Posted 132 total yards versus Washington earlier this season

With incentives tied to scrimmage output and a proven matchup, this number clears through sustained touch volume.

#6 - J. Jefferson: O 59.5 Rec Yards

Justin Jefferson is staring directly at another historic benchmark.

• Sitting at 947 receiving yards and needs just 53 to reach 1,000
• Has hit 1,000 receiving yards every season of his career
• Facing a Packers team planning to rest players for the playoffs

When legacy motivation meets a modest yardage threshold, this clears on standard usage alone.

#5 - T. Pollard: O 69.5 Rush Yards

Tony Pollard’s incentives reward both workload and scoring.

• $250,000 for 66 rushing yards and $200,000 for 2 rushing touchdowns
• Averaging 113 rushing yards on 19.5 attempts over his last four games
• Ran for 60 yards on just 10 carries versus Jacksonville earlier

With efficiency already proven and incentives pushing volume, this rushing total clears on workload.

#4 - D. Samuel: O 39.5 Rec Yards

Deebo Samuel’s incentives encourage aggressive deployment.

• $200,000 for 93 receiving yards and $250,000 for 2 touchdowns
• Turned just six touches into 93 total yards last week
• Usage trending upward entering the final week

With a big-play profile and minimal volume needed, this number clears on one or two chunk plays.

#3 - D. Knox: O 0.5 Total TDs

Dawson Knox has minimal thresholds tied directly to scoring.

• $100,000 for 7 receiving yards and $100,000 for 1 touchdown
• Logged 5 catches for 30 yards after re-taking the lead tight end role
• Stopped just inches short of the goal line in Week 17

With repeated red-zone access and money tied to one score, the touchdown path stays wide open.

#2 - R. Dowdle: O 0.5 Total TDs 

Rico Dowdle owns the strongest incentive pressure on the slate.

• $1,000,000 for just 7 scrimmage yards and $250,000 for 1 touchdown
• Handled 75% of the carries last week, confirming control
• Expected early touches increase scoring probability

When role certainty meets incentive urgency, Dowdle becomes the obvious finisher.

#1 - H. Henry: O 3.5 Rec

Hunter Henry’s incentives reward catch volume, not yardage.

• Needs 5 receptions for a $250,000 incentive
• Already earned $250,000 in Week 17
• Dolphins allow the second-most receptions to tight ends

With targets funneled underneath and money tied to catches, four receptions clears without needing a big play.

That’s the list. Incentive week always brings chaos, and the smartest edge is knowing who’s playing for something extra

-Joe

P.S. These picks stay free because of partners like ProphetX. I only work with platforms I actually use and trust. Code HOLKA = 20% match up to $100.