Playoffs on the line. Perfect time to add to your bankroll.

Onyx is giving away $115 free right now.

$15 in bonus bets at signup. Bet $10, get $100 more.

Legal in 40+ states. Even if your state doesn't have traditional sportsbooks.

Code HOLKA. This offer won't last.

→ Get your $115

Rhamondre Stevenson has fully reclaimed control of New England’s backfield, and his workload points directly to volume on the ground.

• Has cleared this number in two straight games, including 25 rushing attempts last week
• Over the last six quarters, Stevenson has played 76 snaps to just eight for Henderson and logged 38 carries compared to seven
• New England has leaned heavily on Stevenson whenever games remain competitive, signaling a run-first approach through their veteran back

When snap dominance turns into sustained rushing volume, getting to 15 carries becomes the baseline outcome.

TreVeyon Henderson’s role has evaporated as the postseason has progressed, and nothing suggests a rebound here.

• New England forces the fourth-fewest rushing attempts in the NFL, further narrowing Henderson’s rushing opportunities
• Has played only eight snaps and recorded seven carries over the last six quarters
• New England has shifted entirely toward Stevenson as the primary rushing option, leaving Henderson as a situational afterthought

When usage collapses this sharply in high-leverage games, rushing opportunities dry up fast. My #1 pick is a Seattle player looking to break his receiving yards prop.

Sam Darnold’s passing profile has trended shorter, and the matchup limits his ability to generate explosive plays.

• Has surpassed this mark just three times over his last four games
• The Patriots ranked ninth in explosive pass rate allowed during the regular season, consistently limiting downfield gains
• The Patriots blitz at a high rate, and Darnold fell from 4th in big-play rate when kept clean to 20th under pressure and 16th when blitzed

When pressure and coverage take away deep shots, long completions become hard to come by.

Rashid Shaheed’s offensive involvement has nearly disappeared, and the matchup reinforces that trend.

• Has missed this number in five straight games, totaling just three receptions over that span
• Has one or fewer catches in eight of 11 games with Seattle and only one total reception in the postseason
• New England allowed the seventh-fewest wide receiver receptions during the regular season

When a player’s role shrinks and the defense suppresses volume, receptions remain scarce.

Kayshon Boutte’s matchup is difficult, but his usage profile still creates access to a downfield outcome.

• Has cleared this number in two of his last three games while averaging five targets over that span
• Seattle allowed receptions of 44, 34, 29, and 21 yards to receivers lined up outside against the Rams
• 40% of Boutte’s postseason targets have traveled 20 or more air yards, connecting on two of six such throws

When usage is concentrated on vertical routes, a single catch can flip the result.

Cooper Kupp’s postseason role has expanded, pushing his target floor higher than regular-season norms.

• Has seen 11 total targets across his first two playoff games
• Owns a 23.4% target rate per route and a 22% target share in the postseason, both up from roughly 16% during the regular season
• Against the 49ers, Kupp caught five passes even though Darnold threw just 17 times, showing his targets hold even when overall pass volume is suppressed

When usage spikes regardless of game script, targets follow.

A.J. Barner’s playoff box scores lag behind his season-long role, but the matchup supports a rebound.

• Averaged 35 receiving yards per game over his final eight regular-season matchups
• New England allowed 7.2 yards per target to tight ends during the regular season, ranking 16th
• Against zone coverage, Sam Darnold targeted tight ends on 20% of dropbacks compared to just 12% against man

When coverage tilts toward zone and tight ends absorb volume, yardage builds quickly.

Stefon Diggs’ usage has shifted toward short-area targets, capping his explosive-play upside.

• Has missed this number in three straight games
• Averaged just 6 air yards per target on 17 postseason targets
• Seattle ranked first in yards per target allowed to receivers and first in explosive-play rate allowed to wideouts this season

When depth of target collapses against the league’s most restrictive coverage unit, long gains disappear.